What sells off-market in Riverside County, CA

By Josh MillerUpdated 5 min read
The short answer

In Riverside County, CA, where few houses sell off-market at all, foreclosure filings stood out: about 14 of every 100 owners with a foreclosure filing sold off-market within 12 months of the filing, against fewer than 1 of every 100 houses picked at random in the county. Most of those 233 sales, 174 of them, came after month 3, with the busiest stretch in months 4 to 6, so this is a list to keep mailing all year.

Most homes in Riverside County sell through an agent. Of all the home sales recorded in Riverside County over 12 months, only about 17% never went through a listing. That leaves a small pool of off-market sellers, which makes picking the right list matter more, not less.

Below is every list we could measure in Riverside County, out of about 649,000 single-family homes, with how many owners on each sold off-market and when.

Lists that start with a filing

Foreclosures, expired listings, liens and judgments start on a date: something got filed with the county. Here is how many owners on each list in Riverside County sold off-market afterward, sorted by how many of every 100 sold within 12 months.

Lists that start with a filing, Riverside County, CAFilings from October 2024 through March 2025. Busiest quarter is counted in months after the filing.
ListOwners on the listSold off-market within 3 monthsSold off-market within 12 monthsOf every 100, sold within 12 monthsBusiest quarter
Foreclosure filed1,7195923313.6Months 4 to 6
Expired or cancelled listing5,3111382945.5Months 1 to 3
Lien filed against the property8,442372212.6Months 4 to 6
Judgment against the owner2,9122130.4Months 10 to 12

Expired and cancelled listings, the list most investors would guess first, came in at about 5.5 of every 100 within 12 months in Riverside County. Foreclosure filings beat them here at about 14 of every 100.

Not every list that starts with a filing earns its stamp. In Riverside County, about 0.4 of every 100 owners with a judgment against them sold off-market within 12 months, against about 0.6 of every 100 houses picked at random. That list did no better than mailing the county blind.

Lists that just sit there

Vacant houses, back taxes, equity and owners who live somewhere else don't start on a date. Those owners can sit on a list for years. Read the shaded bottom row first: it's a house picked at random in Riverside County, and a list that can't beat it is buying stamps and nothing else.

Lists that sit there, Riverside County, CACounted over 12 months. The shaded bottom row is a house picked at random in the same county.
ListOwners on the listSold off-market within 12 monthsOf every 100, sold within 12 months
Behind on taxes, 5 or more years6,1411742.8
Behind on taxes, 2 to 4 years14,5102191.5
Sitting vacant6,872881.3
Owns it free and clear147,7511,2570.9
High equity, living elsewhere110,3586950.6
Owner 65 or older, living elsewhere46,9941010.2
Any house, picked at random649,4763,9580.6

The best of them in Riverside County was owners 5 or more years behind on taxes: about 2.8 of every 100 sold off-market within 12 months, against fewer than 1 of every 100 houses picked at random.

Owners 65 and older who live elsewhere sold off-market less often than a random house in Riverside County over the same 12 months. That list is buying stamps, not sellers, here.

Equity lists beat a random house in Riverside County, but they are big lists, so a small edge still costs a lot of postage.

When to mail in Riverside County

Go early on expired and cancelled listings. In Riverside County, the first 3 months after the filing were the busiest quarter for that list: 138 of the 294 off-market sales within 12 months on expired and cancelled listings came in that first stretch.

Foreclosure filings and liens on the property peaked a little later in Riverside County, in months 4 to 6 after the filing (sales by quarter for foreclosure filings: 59, then 92, 58 and 24; liens on the property: 37, then 127, 27 and 30). Start in month one and keep going through the year.

Stay longer on judgments against the owner. Their busiest quarter in Riverside County was months 10 to 12 after the filing (2, then 3, 3 and 5 sales by quarter), so a single letter in month one misses most of the owners who end up selling.

Treat the timing on judgments against the owner as a lean, not a rule: fewer than 30 of those owners sold off-market within 12 months in Riverside County.

Whatever the list, take out anyone who already sold or listed the house before every drop.

How we counted

For filings from October 2024 through March 2025, we counted every off-market, arm's-length sale recorded in the county afterward. Counted from the county's own records by FirstPulse, the data engine GoForClose runs on.

Lists that sit there, like vacant houses or back taxes, and the house picked at random are counted over 12 months. Probate and divorce are left out: there are too few on record in most counties to measure honestly.

Compare another county

For the method behind these tables, read which motivated seller lists actually sell, when to mail each list and how the lead services compare.

Questions investors ask about Riverside County

What list sells best in Riverside County?

Of the lists we could measure in Riverside County, CA, foreclosure filings sold off-market most often: about 14 of every 100 owners with a foreclosure filing sold within 12 months of the filing, against fewer than 1 of every 100 houses picked at random in the county over 12 months.

When should I mail foreclosure filings in Riverside County?

Longer than most investors do. In Riverside County, the busiest quarter for off-market sales after a foreclosure filing was months 4 to 6 (59, then 92, 58 and 24 sales by quarter). Start in month one and keep going until the owner sells or lists.

Do absentee owners over 65 sell in Riverside County?

Rarely. In Riverside County, CA, about 0.2 of every 100 owners 65 and older who live somewhere else sold off-market within 12 months, against about 0.6 of every 100 houses picked at random. That list did worse than mailing the county blind.

Can I see this for my county?

Yes. Any of 563 counties can be read free at goforclose.com/read, counted from that county's own records, with no call needed to see it.

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