What sells off-market in Los Angeles County, CA

By Josh MillerUpdated 5 min read
The short answer

In Los Angeles County, CA, where few houses sell off-market at all, foreclosure filings stood out: about 10 of every 100 owners with a foreclosure filing sold off-market within 12 months of the filing, against fewer than 1 of every 100 houses picked at random in the county. Most of those 299 sales, 233 of them, came after month 3, with the busiest stretch in months 4 to 6, so this is a list to keep mailing all year.

Most homes in Los Angeles County sell through an agent. Of all the home sales recorded in Los Angeles County over 12 months, only about 16% never went through a listing. That leaves a small pool of off-market sellers, which makes picking the right list matter more, not less.

Below is every list we could measure in Los Angeles County, out of about 1.5 million single-family homes, with how many owners on each sold off-market and when.

Lists that start with a filing

Foreclosures, expired listings, liens and judgments start on a date: something got filed with the county. Here is how many owners on each list in Los Angeles County sold off-market afterward, sorted by how many of every 100 sold within 12 months.

Lists that start with a filing, Los Angeles County, CAFilings from October 2024 through March 2025. Busiest quarter is counted in months after the filing.
ListOwners on the listSold off-market within 3 monthsSold off-market within 12 monthsOf every 100, sold within 12 monthsBusiest quarter
Foreclosure filed2,8746629910.4Months 4 to 6
Expired or cancelled listing8,5183356107.2Months 1 to 3
Lien filed against the property93,4531715360.6Months 1 to 3
Judgment against the owner4,5073140.3Months 7 to 9

Expired and cancelled listings, the list most investors would guess first, came in at about 7.2 of every 100 within 12 months in Los Angeles County. Foreclosure filings beat them here at about 10 of every 100.

Not every list that starts with a filing earns its stamp. In Los Angeles County, about 0.3 of every 100 owners with a judgment against them sold off-market within 12 months, against about 0.4 of every 100 houses picked at random. That list did no better than mailing the county blind.

Lists that just sit there

Vacant houses, back taxes, equity and owners who live somewhere else don't start on a date. Those owners can sit on a list for years. Read the shaded bottom row first: it's a house picked at random in Los Angeles County, and a list that can't beat it is buying stamps and nothing else.

Lists that sit there, Los Angeles County, CACounted over 12 months. The shaded bottom row is a house picked at random in the same county.
ListOwners on the listSold off-market within 12 monthsOf every 100, sold within 12 months
Behind on taxes, 5 or more years3,882932.4
Behind on taxes, 2 to 4 years18,3133371.8
Sitting vacant5,974891.5
High equity, living elsewhere183,6598960.5
Owns it free and clear373,6591,7130.5
Owner 65 or older, living elsewhere62,1191140.2
Any house, picked at random1,525,0216,2860.4

The best of them in Los Angeles County was owners 5 or more years behind on taxes: about 2.4 of every 100 sold off-market within 12 months, against fewer than 1 of every 100 houses picked at random.

Owners 65 and older who live elsewhere sold off-market less often than a random house in Los Angeles County over the same 12 months. That list is buying stamps, not sellers, here.

Equity lists beat a random house in Los Angeles County, but they are big lists, so a small edge still costs a lot of postage.

When to mail in Los Angeles County

Go early on expired and cancelled listings and liens on the property. In Los Angeles County, the first 3 months after the filing were the busiest quarter for each of them: 335 of the 610 off-market sales within 12 months on expired and cancelled listings came in that first stretch.

Foreclosure filings peaked a little later in Los Angeles County, in months 4 to 6 after the filing (66, then 106, 75 and 52 sales by quarter). Start in month one and keep going through the year.

Stay longer on judgments against the owner. Their busiest quarter in Los Angeles County was months 7 to 9 after the filing (3, then 3, 6 and 2 sales by quarter), so a single letter in month one misses most of the owners who end up selling.

Treat the timing on judgments against the owner as a lean, not a rule: fewer than 30 of those owners sold off-market within 12 months in Los Angeles County.

Whatever the list, take out anyone who already sold or listed the house before every drop.

How we counted

For filings from October 2024 through March 2025, we counted every off-market, arm's-length sale recorded in the county afterward. Counted from the county's own records by FirstPulse, the data engine GoForClose runs on.

Lists that sit there, like vacant houses or back taxes, and the house picked at random are counted over 12 months. Probate and divorce are left out: there are too few on record in most counties to measure honestly.

Compare another county

For the method behind these tables, read which motivated seller lists actually sell, when to mail each list and how the lead services compare.

Questions investors ask about Los Angeles County

What list sells best in Los Angeles County?

Of the lists we could measure in Los Angeles County, CA, foreclosure filings sold off-market most often: about 10 of every 100 owners with a foreclosure filing sold within 12 months of the filing, against fewer than 1 of every 100 houses picked at random in the county over 12 months.

When should I mail foreclosure filings in Los Angeles County?

Longer than most investors do. In Los Angeles County, the busiest quarter for off-market sales after a foreclosure filing was months 4 to 6 (66, then 106, 75 and 52 sales by quarter). Start in month one and keep going until the owner sells or lists.

Do absentee owners over 65 sell in Los Angeles County?

Rarely. In Los Angeles County, CA, about 0.2 of every 100 owners 65 and older who live somewhere else sold off-market within 12 months, against about 0.4 of every 100 houses picked at random. That list did worse than mailing the county blind.

Can I see this for my county?

Yes. Any of 563 counties can be read free at goforclose.com/read, counted from that county's own records, with no call needed to see it.

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